Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.451687 0.582710 0.724900 0.888626 1.070088 1.263421 1.483425
2025-03-16 0.246984 0.412116 0.612643 0.863529 1.160325 1.493168 1.888263
2025-03-23 0.164139 0.340947 0.575018 0.884411 1.264879 1.703708 2.236040
2025-03-30 0.102174 0.277246 0.532139 0.887471 1.339829 1.874112 2.533760
2025-04-06 0.055545 0.216890 0.480050 0.867761 1.378036 1.993941 2.766279
2025-04-13 0.036442 0.195612 0.478585 0.911155 1.492443 2.203272 3.102798
2025-04-20 0.023107 0.178567 0.479651 0.955345 1.606023 2.410360 3.435796
2025-04-27 0.014554 0.167165 0.487159 1.006955 1.728213 2.627437 3.780475
2025-05-04 0.011189 0.169219 0.516794 1.090220 1.892108 2.896432 4.188177
2025-05-11 0.006199 0.159474 0.523859 1.139337 2.009989 3.107723 4.525867
2025-05-18 0.001563 0.138452 0.506907 1.150602 2.075740 3.252736 4.782301
2025-05-25 NaN 0.099715 0.447544 1.092327 2.043733 3.271844 4.882851
2025-06-01 NaN 0.064894 0.386765 1.029613 2.007468 3.290274 4.990268
2025-06-08 NaN 0.043658 0.348013 0.998483 2.013345 3.362076 5.163810
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036028 0.342454 1.022122 2.096477 3.533598 5.461039
2025-06-22 NaN 0.026430 0.326138 1.025125 2.148721 3.664087 5.706547
2025-06-29 NaN 0.015861 0.298061 1.003925 2.163648 3.744115 5.887569
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014453 0.306646 1.050737 2.279806 3.958966 6.239625
2025-07-13 NaN 0.013264 0.315689 1.098357 2.397246 4.175683 6.594293
2025-07-20 NaN 0.012911 0.328812 1.153872 2.526720 4.408715 6.969990
2025-07-27 NaN 0.015770 0.359361 1.243244 2.707553 4.710863 7.433997
2025-08-03 NaN 0.015069 0.370864 1.295861 2.832974 4.938872 7.803840
2025-08-10 NaN 0.010968 0.361687 1.307919 2.896847 5.084228 8.068424